Is Dot Com Dead?

Written by William Cate


Is Dot Com Dead? By William Cate Published May 1999 [http://home.earthlink.net/~beowulfinvestments/] [http://home.earthlink.net/~beowulfinvestments/globalvillageinvestmentclubwelcome/]

A public company's share price relies on perception, not fundamentals. Investors buyrepparttar sizzle and notrepparttar 112476 steak. It'srepparttar 112477 reason stock promotion works. Perception can be manipulated.

Investors are lemmings. Inrepparttar 112478 16th Century, they invested in tulips. Inrepparttar 112479 1970's, it was gold mines. Until recently, it's beenrepparttar 112480 Internet. The cliffrepparttar 112481 lemmings rush over is fundamentals. Most investors don't believerepparttar 112482 axiom that a business that isn't making money can't survive.

Tulip Mania, Mining Mania or Dot Com Mania followsrepparttar 112483 same road to investor loss. There's an event that catchesrepparttar 112484 media's interest. Inrepparttar 112485 case of Mining Mania, it wasrepparttar 112486 collapse ofrepparttar 112487 Bretton Woods Agreement in 1972. France forcedrepparttar 112488 United States to floatrepparttar 112489 gold price againstrepparttar 112490 dollar. This created a platoon of "gold bug" gurus. The profit wasn't in tellingrepparttar 112491 lemmings thatrepparttar 112492 gold price was going up. The gurus made their money telling investors to buy gold mining stocks. The gurus got their stock free for promotingrepparttar 112493 mining company and sold intorepparttar 112494 buying they created. Mining stock centers like Vancouver, Denver and Salt Lake City boomed.

It doesn't benefitrepparttar 112495 U. S. economy, nor any Western Government, to allow gold to appear safer thanrepparttar 112496 U. S. Dollar. After 1980, Western Governments moved to undermine gold [http://www.metropolecafe.com] as an alternative to paper currencies. The declining gold price ended Mining Mania.

The gold bug gurus mining argument was illogical. They argued that investors should not trustrepparttar 112497 U. S. Dollar because it was a worthless paper (fiat) currency. However, investors should trust worthless paper stock certificates because they representedrepparttar 112498 potential to produce gold.

Gold mining sank on three realities. The gold price never moved high enough to offsetrepparttar 112499 post World War II inflation. The Environmental Movement imposed massive additional costs on mining, especially inrepparttar 112500 United States. Most profitable gold deposits had been mined before 1972. Withoutrepparttar 112501 prospect of profit,repparttar 112502 potential of gold inrepparttar 112503 ground was worthless. Mining Mania ended withrepparttar 112504 loss of billions of investor dollars.

The creation ofrepparttar 112505 Internet is one ofrepparttar 112506 major technological events ofrepparttar 112507 20th Century. It's empoweredrepparttar 112508 individual and contributed torepparttar 112509 fall ofrepparttar 112510 Soviet Union. Inrepparttar 112511 next Century, computer literacy will determine social class and widenrepparttar 112512 gulf between between wealthy and developing countries. Keep in mind that expanding world population means increased demand for finite resources. The Net doesn't produce food, shelter or clothing. But, media focus onrepparttar 112513 Net is justified.

The Net isn't a means of production. It's a means of distribution of goods and services. You can sell books onrepparttar 112514 Net, without renting a bookstore. I can sell my financial consulting services with this newsletter, without paying for printing and postage. In theory, these savings should translate into greater profits.

Short Selling Strategies

Written by William Cate


Short Selling Strategies Two Dozen Types of Short Sales By William Cate Published August 2002 [http://home.earthlink.net/~beowulfinvestments/] [http://home.earthlink.net/~beowulfinvestments/globalvillageinvestmentclubwelcome/]

There are dozens of ways to sell short a stock.

1. Traditional Short Sale: Borrowrepparttar stock against a fifty percent margin. This isrepparttar 112475 only type of short sale that can be squeezed whenrepparttar 112476 share price moves up becauserepparttar 112477 short seller must add money to their margin account.

2. A Market Maker Short Sale: U. S. Market Makers are not required to make physical delivery of stock certificates when they sell it. They are assumed to be a repository ofrepparttar 112478 company's shares.

3. A Brokerage House Short Sale: This is a decision not to execute a buy order from a client, but showrepparttar 112479 stock as owned byrepparttar 112480 client on their monthly brokerage firm account statement.

4. A Clearing House Short Sale: The Clearing House doesn't executerepparttar 112481 buy order, but credits it torepparttar 112482 brokerage firm client's account.

5. A Naked Short Sale: This is where two brokerage firms agree to trade stock in a company with neither brokerage firm requesting physical delivery ofrepparttar 112483 share certificates.

6. An Insider Short Sale: This is when insiders with restricted stock use it to sell short their company. It's illegal. It was a common practice whenrepparttar 112484 Regulation S Hold Period was 40 days.

7. A Ferrari Short Sale: This is where a bloc of stock is purchased. The stock is converted to derivatives, thus factoringrepparttar 112485 stock one hundred fold or more. The short sale doesn't occur inrepparttar 112486 Stock Market, butrepparttar 112487 derivative owners are holding a short position.

8. The DTC Short Sale: This is when Depository Trust Companies userepparttar 112488 stock they hold to sell short that stock.

9. The International Short Sale: Stock's created offshore. The company is listed to trade outsiderepparttar 112489 United States (usually Canada). Howeverrepparttar 112490 company is trading inrepparttar 112491 States. The shares are sold intorepparttar 112492 States. The Short Sale is moved torepparttar 112493 Primary Country, whererepparttar 112494 local brokers can ensure thatrepparttar 112495 short position will be covered byrepparttar 112496 listed company, if there is ever a successful short squeeze.

10. The Arbitrage Short Sale: LTV - Scattered Securities is an example of this short play. The Court inrepparttar 112497 LTV reorganization determinedrepparttar 112498 exchange rate for new shares for old shares at three cents. The Market didn't readrepparttar 112499 Court decision. The old shares traded far higher thanrepparttar 112500 Court Ordered exchange rate. The short sale was done by selling old shares and buying new shares beforerepparttar 112501 Court mandated exchange of share certificates.

11. The Street Stock Short Sale: Sellers who are insiders or who allege to be insiders sell counterfeit stock to buyers outside regular market channels.

12. The MIDI Short Sale: Brokers sell stock at prices well aboverepparttar 112502 actual trading price ofrepparttar 112503 stock. This has been popular with German OTC stocks sold intorepparttar 112504 Middle East. The gap betweenrepparttar 112505 sale price andrepparttar 112506 trading price is an effective short sale.

13. The Depository Receipt Short Sale: Using counterfeit stock,repparttar 112507 seller deposits it into an overseas bank. They then sell Depository Receipts againstrepparttar 112508 counterfeit shares held byrepparttar 112509 bank. I've seen this done in Asia.

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