Continued from page 1
5. Horses having their first or second run of season perform much more poorly than horses that are having their 5th, 6th or 7th start of season.
As with point 3, this should not be a major surprise, but there is a bigger difference in profit/loss figures than one might imagine.
Horses that are having their first or second run of season - strike rate 8.2% for a loss of 41%.
Horses having their 5th, 6th or 7th run of season - strike rate 10.2% for a loss of 25.3%.
6. Beaten favourites are generally poor investments, but if horse starts favourite again then their chance of winning increases considerably.
Horses that were beaten favourites last time out and do NOT start favourite on their next start - strike rate 11.5% for a loss of 18.6%.
Horses that were beaten favourites last time out and DO start favourite on their next start - strike rate 34.2% for a loss of just 5.4%.
7. Backing horses that run at Ripon that had previously ran at either Catterick or Wolverhampton (aw) are poor investments .
Only 23 horses from 601 runners have won at Ripon having run last time out at Catterick. That equates to a strike rate of only 3.8%, and produced a loss of nearly 65% !! Only 11 horses from 245 runners have won at Ripon having run last time out at Wolverhampton (aw). That equates to a strike rate of only 4.5%, and produced a loss of nearly 61% !!
8. Horses that won their last ran and travel from overseas are worth consideration.
Backing last time out winners coming from overseas have made an overall profit in 17 years of study. 90 winners from 464 runners produced a strike rate of 19.4% and a profit on investment of 9.6%.
Dave Renham is a uk horse racing and Betting Researcher.
Find out more at http://www.Drawn2Win.co.uk and http://www.PunterProfits.com