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Match-up handicapping involves comparing each teams strengths and weaknesses and taking into account any injuries.
Line value is determined by your own set of power ratings to determine what
point spread should be. As a courtesy, below I have listed my take on what
spread should be as compared to
actual spread that Vegas has for this weeks upcoming Top 25 games. Remember, this is only one component of handicapping college football games. Just because there is line value, it doesn't automatically make it a play.
Line Value - 9/23-9/25 Game, Vegas Home Line, Dyer Home Line, Value Miami (4) @ Houston +30 +20.5 Houston 9.5 BYU @ Boise St (21) -22 -14.5 BYU 7.5 Purdue (15) @ Illinois +20.5 +17.5 Illinois 3 Maryland (23) @ Duke NL +5.5 NA Mississippi St @ LSU (13) -29.5 -21.5 Miss St 8 Louisville (22) @ N. Car. +8.5 +4 N. Car 4.5 Air Force @ Utah (14) -21 -21 NA Clemson @ Florida St (11) -17 -17.5 Florida St .5 Syracuse @ Virginia (12) -25.5 -19 Syracuse 6.5 Iowa (24) @ Michigan (18) -13.5 -6.5 Iowa 7 Penn St @ Wisconsin (20) -3 -5.5 Wisconsin 2.5 Kentucky @ Florida (16) -19.5 -14.5 Kentucky 5 USC (1) @ Stanford 21.5 17.5 Stanford 4 Rice @ Texas (5) -33 -21.5 Rice 11.5 La Tech @ Tennessee (8) -23 -16 La Tech 7 N'western @ Minny (19) -15 -10.5 N'western 4.5
When you combine all four facets of handicapping, determining line value and playing on sides where there is value, not betting against smart money, playing on teams in favorable situations that have a definite matchup advantage, you will begin becoming more selective with your plays, avoid bad so-called "trap" games and see your winning percentage increase dramatically. You also will become a more sophisticated handicapper rather than concerning yourself with
Top 25 Popularity Poll!
Ron Dyer is a documented professional handicapper. Jump on board and cash in with his other Clients. He has opened up his 2004 College Football season 12-5 (+1314 Units)!
As always, I wish you only good luck this weekend!
Ron Dyer Dyer's Sportsline www.footballjunky.com
