Benjamin Graham (1894-1976) is considered by many to be architect of Fundamental Analysis and Value Investing. Graham liked to find discrepancies between a stock's price and its value and would buy large portfolios of undervalued stocks, holding them until they became fully valued. In his 1949 book "The Intelligent Investor, Graham describes a stock selection technique that identifies stocks that are trading at a deep discount to a calculated value termed Net Current Asset Value or NCAV.
Calculation of a stock's NCAV is a fairly simple endeavor and is somewhat different from calculation of Book Value. Whereas Book Value is purely a per share measure of Assets - Liabilities, NCAV is a little more rigorous.
In calculating NCAV, Graham only considered Current Assets, i.e. cash, cash equivalents, accounts receivable, inventories. However, from this value he still subtracted Total Liabilities. The result he then divided by number of shares outstanding to give NCAV per share. This value would be considered by Graham to be a fair value for stock.
You might think he would buy at this price, but no. Graham only bought stocks that were trading under two-thirds or 66% of their NCAV. Consider as an example G-III Apparel Group Ltd, ticker symbol GIII.
Current Assets are $130.25M, Total Liabilities are $68.3M, and there are 7.22M shares outstanding.
NCAV = (130.25 - 68.3) / 7.22 = $8.58.
Two-thirds of this price would be $5.66. At time of writing (03/07/05), GIII is trading at $7.67, so may not be a buy candidate at present. It is important to note that Graham would consider NCAV to be a first step in further analysis of stock. A sensible investor would investigate balance sheet further to check for a sound business with other desirable factors such as good earnings,revenue growth, low debt-to-equity, and good operational cash flow per share.
Stocks trading at such a deep discount are few and far between, and have usually been beaten down by a combination of bad news and emotional reactions from investing public. These stocks were Graham's bread and butter. He repeatedly insisted that time to buy stocks was when everyone else was selling and time to sell was when everyone else was buying. Had he been alive, he certainly would have been out of stocks before dot com bubble burst and would surely have been picking up bargains soon after. It is no secret that one of Graham's most famous disciples is Warren Buffett who has consistently beaten market by a large margin with his investments.