The MachiavelliansWritten by William Cate
The Machiavellians By William CateTechnical Analysis is financial astrology. There are too many variables whose importance changes too quickly to allow any mathematical formula to accurately predict performance of Market. It's like Science claiming that it could predict crystal structure of next snowflake when there are an infinite variety of potential snowflakes. It's simply impossible. It's true that economy operates in cycles. It's easy to identify historic economic cycles and discover primary reasons that each one occurred. However, to extrapolate from existence of economic cycles to Technical Analysis is like noting fact that people and objects don't fall off earth and assuming that earth is flat. Fundamental Analysis might work in an honest society using objective evaluation tools and operating in a stable reality. Enron and WorldCom are just two examples of hundred of thousands of examples that show honesty in business is a rarity. Business audits aren't objective. The Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) have more loopholes than a sponge has pores. Today, world economy is anything but a stable reality. We are walking along an unstable cliff that will soon plunge us into a Recession and eventually into a major Depression. Many fundamentally sound businesses will be swept away in this economic collapse. The Machiavellians are economic cynics. They argue that economy and all aspects of human life are manipulated. There are hundreds of thousands of groups who want public to act in some specific way and to get them to do so; manipulators create a perception that ensures desired reaction. A specific breakfast cereal is good for you because it is eaten by a sports figure. A name brand drug is superior to its less expensive generic equivalent because you have heard of name brand company. Statistics that manipulator has created prove that perception manipulator wants you to believe is true. Everyone faces a daily barrage of misinformation that is intended to create a false perception that will elicit a desired reaction. This starts with your kids manipulating you in morning and, just before you go to bed, ends with late night news telling you Government projects a lower inflation rate.
| | Debt Consolidation – Discipline is Required if Consolidating with Home EquityWritten by Charles Essmeier
Debt consolidation is a popular topic these days. The average American carries nearly $10,000 in credit card debt and credit card debt of $100,000 is not all that unusual. New legislation that takes effect in October 2005 is going to make it harder for those with problem debt to file for bankruptcy, so many people are trying to find ways to consolidate their debt instead. One of most popular ways to do that is through a home equity loan, but borrowers need to be careful, as there are potential problems with borrowing against your home to pay other debts.The concept of debt consolidation is simple. You transfer debt from one or more high interest loans to a single, larger loan at a lower interest rate. The most popular way of accomplishing this is to transfer debt from a credit card, which often carries an interest rate of 20% or more, to a home equity loan with an interest rate of less than 10%. By doing so, you can reduce your debt payments by as much as several hundred dollars a month. Those taking out home equity loans for such purposes should be careful and be aware of following potential problems. Consolidating through a home equity loan trades unsecured debt for secured debt. Credit card debt is unsecured by collateral. Should you fail to pay, credit card companies can send a collection agency after you to collect their money, but that’s about all they can do. If you transfer debt to a home equity loan, debt becomes secured by your home. If you fail to pay that debt, you could have your home repossessed. For those who have problems paying their bills, this could represent a substantial risk.
|