The Folly of Problem Solving

Written by Tom Horn

THE FOLLY OF PROBLEM SOLVING Hello, my name is Tom. In this short article I want to convince you that a strategy for getting nice surprises is more realistic than a strategy leading to a predictable outcome. We are already familiar with strategies of predictability and have called them science, technology and logic. These have been used to solve our problems. Each of us has to solverepparttar problems of providing ourselves with food, clothing, shelter, warmth, health and friendship. And then there arerepparttar 131440 wider problems of balancingrepparttar 131441 economy, environmental degradation, disposal of waste, helpingrepparttar 131442 poor, fighting diseases and keepingrepparttar 131443 peace. There is no shortage of problems in this world. Small wonder then that we are trained from an early age inrepparttar 131444 skills of problem solving. But even if we could solve all our problems, would we then be living in a world we would have chosen had there been no problems to begin with. The answer, surprisingly, is no. So what is wrong with problem solving using strategies of predictability? Well, firstly, have you noticed howrepparttar 131445 problem solver does not wind up in an ideal world of his own choosing. Far from it because his solutions to problems often becomerepparttar 131446 new problems. For example: We need food, so we get a meal and our continued existence contributes torepparttar 131447 overpopulation ofrepparttar 131448 earth. We need shelter, so we buy a house and then haverepparttar 131449 problem of maintenance and mortgage repayments. We need to travel, so we buy a car and wind up living in a vast car park with exhaust fumes choking us to death. We need to communicate, so we inventrepparttar 131450 Internet and now terrorists can learn to make bombs, crooks can steal money without leaving home and children can access pornography. I invite you to spot your own solutions, which are now new problems.

The Hidden Law

Written by Tom Horn

THE HIDDEN LAW When you were at school your teachers, unknowingly, did you a disservice by only revealing halfrepparttar truth aboutrepparttar 131439 world. The consequences of imperfect knowledge are truly devastating, as you will learn. Welcome to a different type of lesson. An orthodox school curriculum assumes thatrepparttar 131440 world is explainable. To be understandable,repparttar 131441 world has to be comprised of chains of causes and effects. You knowrepparttar 131442 kind of thing: this causes that, that causesrepparttar 131443 other,repparttar 131444 other causes something else and something else causesrepparttar 131445 final outcome. If we have infinitely accurate information about each stage inrepparttar 131446 chain we can predict an outcome – and this outcome is really a jumping off point for further stages inrepparttar 131447 chain. Tracing chains of causes and effects increases our sense of security and makesrepparttar 131448 world appear predictable and understandable. Foreseeable chains of causes and effects are notrepparttar 131449 only way things happen in this world. There are also LIVING TRENDS. Living trends differ from chains of causes and effects in that they are inherently surprising – that is to say, they have outcomes that can only be experienced as surprises. It is very difficult to become an expert on such will-o-the-wisp phenomena. Therefore,repparttar 131450 knowledge of living trends is not onrepparttar 131451 school curriculum. In fact there tends to be no interest in them or even an emotional denial that they exist at all. But they do exist and we are all inrepparttar 131452 grip of them. So what is a living trend? It is a pattern of development that spontaneously emerges, apparently without a cause, fromrepparttar 131453 natural world. There is a rapid inflationary phase, a plateau phase of unpredictable length and a sudden surprising reversal ofrepparttar 131454 trend. Participating in a living trend gives a feeling of being in a comfortable routine leading to a secure outcome. However, allrepparttar 131455 time you are heading for an unpleasant surprise. Let’s have an example. Consider investors inrepparttar 131456 stock market. Suddenly, from out of nowhere, confidence appears. This is reflected in rising prices. There is a rapid inflationary phase wherein stock prices rise to unrealistic levels. Thenrepparttar 131457 acceleration of confidence tails off and remains at a given high level, asrepparttar 131458 plateau phase is entered. An unpredictable moment arrives when all confidence drains away, prices plunge and there is a big shakeout ofrepparttar 131459 market. The thing that makes people available to living trends is ‘IMPERFECT KNOWLEDGE’. All ofrepparttar 131460 investors have only a partial understanding ofrepparttar 131461 economic realities behindrepparttar 131462 share prices. Their individual notions of what is true increaserepparttar 131463 sum total of chaos and disorganization withinrepparttar 131464 overall scenario and it is out ofrepparttar 131465 principle of chaos that living trends make their impromptu emergence. We are told that ‘the Truth will set us free’. What is meant is thatrepparttar 131466 Truth will set us free from participation in living trends. This is why successful market speculators and entrepreneurs often come fromrepparttar 131467 ranks of those who performed rather badly at school. They know they don’t know anything and that insight makes them more likely to intuitrepparttar 131468 truth of beguiling living trends inrepparttar 131469 market.

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