Stock Is Money

Written by William Cate


Stock is Money By William Cate Published May 1998 [http://home.earthlink.net/~beowulfinvestments/] [http://home.earthlink.net/~beowulfinvestments/globalvillageinvestmentclubwelcome/]

Every public company has a permit to print money. We call their money "stock." The public company's job is to convince investors that their stock is worth more thanrepparttar investor's money. When you succeed, your share price is strong. When you fail, your share price collapses. Eventually, your company will fail.

Stock, like money, suffers from inflation. The objection to paper money isrepparttar 112477 ability ofrepparttar 112478 Government to expand its supply. When a Government inflates its currency, it risks economic upheaval. National financial instability leads to political unrest. President Suharto of Indonesia is an example ofrepparttar 112479 risks politicians run with inflation.

Public companies runrepparttar 112480 same inflation risk. One reasonrepparttar 112481 Canadian Stock Markets lack credibility is that they allowrepparttar 112482 listed company insiders to inflaterepparttar 112483 issued stock and dump it. I disagree withrepparttar 112484 SEC decision to reducerepparttar 112485 holding period for insider stock to one year. The inflated shares hitrepparttar 112486 market like a tidal wave. Whenrepparttar 112487 U. S. Government inflatesrepparttar 112488 currency, it takes about eighteen months forrepparttar 112489 American people to see higher prices. When a public company issues more stock, it often takes a few days forrepparttar 112490 stock to depressrepparttar 112491 company's share price. At best, it takes a year forrepparttar 112492 company's shareholders to payrepparttar 112493 price forrepparttar 112494 stock inflation.

One wayrepparttar 112495 American Government has offset its tendency to inflaterepparttar 112496 dollar is to convince non-Americans ofrepparttar 112497 stability ofrepparttar 112498 U. S. dollar. You can find U. S. Hundred-dollar bills hidden in mattresses from India to Russia. People are storing dollars as a hedge against local economic instability. What these dollar hoarders fail to realize is thatrepparttar 112499 American Government may not redeem those dollars inrepparttar 112500 future.

Is Dot Com Dead?

Written by William Cate


Is Dot Com Dead? By William Cate Published May 1999 [http://home.earthlink.net/~beowulfinvestments/] [http://home.earthlink.net/~beowulfinvestments/globalvillageinvestmentclubwelcome/]

A public company's share price relies on perception, not fundamentals. Investors buyrepparttar sizzle and notrepparttar 112476 steak. It'srepparttar 112477 reason stock promotion works. Perception can be manipulated.

Investors are lemmings. Inrepparttar 112478 16th Century, they invested in tulips. Inrepparttar 112479 1970's, it was gold mines. Until recently, it's beenrepparttar 112480 Internet. The cliffrepparttar 112481 lemmings rush over is fundamentals. Most investors don't believerepparttar 112482 axiom that a business that isn't making money can't survive.

Tulip Mania, Mining Mania or Dot Com Mania followsrepparttar 112483 same road to investor loss. There's an event that catchesrepparttar 112484 media's interest. Inrepparttar 112485 case of Mining Mania, it wasrepparttar 112486 collapse ofrepparttar 112487 Bretton Woods Agreement in 1972. France forcedrepparttar 112488 United States to floatrepparttar 112489 gold price againstrepparttar 112490 dollar. This created a platoon of "gold bug" gurus. The profit wasn't in tellingrepparttar 112491 lemmings thatrepparttar 112492 gold price was going up. The gurus made their money telling investors to buy gold mining stocks. The gurus got their stock free for promotingrepparttar 112493 mining company and sold intorepparttar 112494 buying they created. Mining stock centers like Vancouver, Denver and Salt Lake City boomed.

It doesn't benefitrepparttar 112495 U. S. economy, nor any Western Government, to allow gold to appear safer thanrepparttar 112496 U. S. Dollar. After 1980, Western Governments moved to undermine gold [http://www.metropolecafe.com] as an alternative to paper currencies. The declining gold price ended Mining Mania.

The gold bug gurus mining argument was illogical. They argued that investors should not trustrepparttar 112497 U. S. Dollar because it was a worthless paper (fiat) currency. However, investors should trust worthless paper stock certificates because they representedrepparttar 112498 potential to produce gold.

Gold mining sank on three realities. The gold price never moved high enough to offsetrepparttar 112499 post World War II inflation. The Environmental Movement imposed massive additional costs on mining, especially inrepparttar 112500 United States. Most profitable gold deposits had been mined before 1972. Withoutrepparttar 112501 prospect of profit,repparttar 112502 potential of gold inrepparttar 112503 ground was worthless. Mining Mania ended withrepparttar 112504 loss of billions of investor dollars.

The creation ofrepparttar 112505 Internet is one ofrepparttar 112506 major technological events ofrepparttar 112507 20th Century. It's empoweredrepparttar 112508 individual and contributed torepparttar 112509 fall ofrepparttar 112510 Soviet Union. Inrepparttar 112511 next Century, computer literacy will determine social class and widenrepparttar 112512 gulf between between wealthy and developing countries. Keep in mind that expanding world population means increased demand for finite resources. The Net doesn't produce food, shelter or clothing. But, media focus onrepparttar 112513 Net is justified.

The Net isn't a means of production. It's a means of distribution of goods and services. You can sell books onrepparttar 112514 Net, without renting a bookstore. I can sell my financial consulting services with this newsletter, without paying for printing and postage. In theory, these savings should translate into greater profits.

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