Is Refinancing a Good Idea Right Now?By Barrett Niehus http://www.freetrainer.com
Rates on mortgages are lower than they have been in forty years. This provides a huge opportunity for new and existing home owners, but also carries risks that can have a substantial impact your ability to pay in future. Mortgage lenders are inundated with work, and it was recently reported on national news that “if you can breath, you can get a mortgage.” This phrase should at very least frighten average mortgage customer. It indicates that not only are mortgage companies finding new ways to make money off of their huge list of clients, but they are also circumventing risk analysis that avoids putting high risk customers into immediate credit trouble.
The opportunity is immense. For many home owners, monthly mortgage payments can be reduced by ten to fifteen percent through a refinance. For new home owners, they can afford to pay ten to fifteen percent more because of resulting low monthly payments. The benefits are substantial and if addressed properly, risks can be avoided.
The risk of course is choosing a form of financing with inherent uncertainties and putting your long term financial situation at risk. One of most popular mortgage products available today are variable (floating) rate mortgages. The mortgage rate varies with current Treasury rate until it is locked in at a set amount above future treasury rate three to five years after date of origination. Many mortgage customers are fond of this type of funding because it allows them to enjoy a very low rate for next three or five years. Unfortunately, risk involved with this type of loan is huge, and can have substantial impact on customer’s ability to pay.
Given that rates are at a forty year low, it is very probable that interest rates will climb substantially within next three years. Although most of these variable rate mortgages have interest rate caps where lock in rate will not exceed twelve percent, impact of a rate increase during a lock-in period can be substantial. To provide an example, suppose you have a $200,000 variable rate mortgage with a 5.5% interest rate. When you first originate loan, your monthly payment will be $1,135. If interest rates increase to 12% by time of your lock in period, your payments will increase to $2055 per month; where they will remain for life of mortgage. For many home owners this type of increase will quickly lead to default, eviction, and bankruptcy.