Interest rates are on rise and many home owners who have adjustable rate mortgages may see increases in their forthcoming annual adjustments.Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan made it clear in 2004 that Federal Reserve would be increasing short-term interest rates at a “measured pace.” With US Dollar at its weakest point in seven years, oil prices unstable and evaluation of other economic indicators, Fed Funds Rate was hiked seven times from 1.0% to 2.75% since June 2004 in an effort to curb inflation. Some economists believe it won’t stop until Fed Fund Rate hits 4.0%.
Consumers with revolving debt accounts tied to prime rate have seen effect through rising interest rate charges, as prime rate always rides 3% above current Fed Funds Rate.
Mortgage interest rates are affected indirectly by these changes. An increase in Fed Funds Rate has an impact on financial markets as a whole, but mortgage rates may go up or down based on perception investors have of current economic statistics and their reaction to Federal Reserve’s after-meeting statements.
In general, when economic data indicates we have a slow-down occurring in our economy, investors tend to sell off stocks and reallocate that money to safe haven of bonds and mortgage-backed securities. The purchase of mortgage-backed securities drives interest rates down. When economic data says there is growth in economy, stock market typically rallies and mortgage-backed securities sell off to fuel that stock market rally. This drives mortgage interest rates up.
Our current market reflects reaction of investors reading between lines on comments made by Fed, and mortgage interest rates are going up. This will have an affect on home owners with adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs) tied to indexes that are based on short-term interest rates. This includes 11th District Cost of Funds, 12-Month Treasury Average (MTA), London Inter Bank Offering Rates (LIBOR) and others.