Scream First, Ask Questions LaterWritten by Charles Payne
NEW YORK, NY - Back in March, I asked whether investors were prepared to get to bottom of Wall Street's Pandora's box. The response that I received from most readers in US was that of outrage. They were appalled that I would suggest that problems were so bad that in end we'd wished that lid had been kept on. I think their response was part patriotism (or in this case maybe nationalism) and part confidence that our system was just about beyond reproach. The European readers on other hand, all agreed that I was on to something. Maybe they were being cynical in suggesting that US market wasn't perfect and that Americans, used to winning and being on top, wouldn't be able to handle truth. Well folks, truth has been harder to handle than anyone thought it would be, and that patriotic fervor has become rebellious anger. Last week felt as if every investor climbed on their window ledges and screamed (all facing east to project their collective voices to Wall Street) I'm mad as hell, and I'm not going to take it any more!!!! (By way, that wasn't confetti flowing in air, those were worthless stock certificates.) The big question over weekend is: when does it stop? This question can be applied to several areas of our lives, including stock market. In fact, I think it must be answered from point of view of corporate scandals and wrong doings. At this point of stock market meltdown, there is no doubt that driving force is continuing stream of scandals. However, one has to wonder what constitutes a scandal. These days it just looks like any misstep by corporate America is/was a deliberate attempt to cover something up. Here is definition according to dictionary.com: scan·dal (sk n dl) n. 1. A publicized incident that brings about disgrace or offends moral sensibilities of society: a drug scandal that forced mayor's resignation. 2. A person, thing, or circumstance that causes or ought to cause disgrace or outrage: a politician whose dishonesty is a scandal; considered housing shortage a scandal. 3. Damage to reputation or character caused by public disclosure of immoralor grossly improper behavior; disgrace. 4. Talk that is damaging to one's character; malicious gossip.
| | Will This Gift Keep On Giving?Written by Charles Payne
Was last week a gift from heavens? Is worst over? These are questions that everyone is asking himself/herself as we head into a new week with a head of steam and a northerly directional bias. Have rains cleared, has lava cooled? Or was last week a sick joke of nature, sort of like duck-billed platypus? Was it only natural that markets finally rebounded? I know I’m supposed to be answering these questions, not asking them, but I have to throw questions and topics out there before tackling them. The short answer is I’m not sure to any of questions above, but let’s view them from all sides and see what we come up with. First, I don’t think there was divine intervention involved in last week’s action. I do believe that there were certain events in America that probably answered a few prayers. (By way, if those trapped miners in Pennsylvania had been rescued during week, it would have provided a spark to action. Though comparisons are unfair I couldn’t help but think of how decisive response to emergency was compared to Russian attempt to save Kursk a few years ago.) The biggest prayer was one seeped in anger and even hatred, and that was for open arrest of a big-time CEO. When Regas family was led away in cuffs, market was already climbing off mat, but news supercharged rebound effort and many speculators that had been waiting patiently found themselves in a position where they had to jump first and ask questions later. It almost makes Americans come across as Huns, but blood lust was at top of many disgruntled investors wish lists. Still, that wasn't type of gift that has a very long shelf life. It was a momentary situation that only whets our appetites for more. However, investors cannot live on revenge alone. They need shelter of a strong economy, warmth of growing earnings, and of course safety from a system of checks and balances that work. So that takes us to question number two, is worst over? I’d say worst isn’t over, if consumers stop spending, if there are more high profile scandals (I can’t believe how many of Wall Streets top pros are saying that companies like Citibank are buys on weakness because they’re too big for government to topple or expose) or if corporate profits don’t return (deflation is still a greater probability than a double dip recession). Yes rains cleared for a few days but clouds of doubt still hover above. I'd say either stay in Ark or near gangplank. The lava has cooled, but it is still too hot to relax or drop one's guard. Yes, this market is like an animal that doesn't know if it is fowl or fish. So far this year, those that have felt that worst was over have suffered cruelty from stock market. It would be absurd not to still show vigilance to such possibilities again. That brings me to even more sinister thoughts and questions. Was last week’s gift a Trojan horse? The shorts are always going to short. It becomes a lot more difficult for them to spread their message and manipulate market if forward PE for S&P is below 20, as opposed to above 30. Sometimes they pick certain points to cover and lure in anxious watchers that have had cash burning a hole in their pockets. The ensuing rally provides them with another chance to re-short market and spread their message of doom with better conviction. I think shorts last week had little choice on Wednesday except to get out of way. But, they’ll be back.
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