Sales Forecasting For New Business

Written by Ben Botes


Sales forecasting isrepparttar process of organizing and analysing information in a way that makes it possible to estimate what your sales will be. This Micro Module outlines some simple methods of forecasting sales using easy to find data. Books containing simple and sophisticated techniques of forecasting sales can be found in libraries and business oriented book stores.

If you sell more than one type of product or service, prepare a separate sales forecast for each service or product group.

There are many sources of information to assist with your sales forecast. Some key sources are: Competitors; Neighbouring Businesses; Trade suppliers; Downtown business associations Trade associations; Trade publications; Trade directories;

Factors that can affect Sales can be divided into external and internal influences. Examples of these are:

External: Seasons; Holidays; Special Events; Competition, direct or indirect Competition, External labour events; Productivity changes Family formations; Births and deaths; Fashions or styles; Population changes; Consumer earnings; Political events Weather

Internal: Product changes, style, quality; Service changes, type, quality; Shortages, production capability; Promotional effort changes Sales Motivation plans; Price changes; Shortages, inventory; Shortages/working capital; Distribution methods used Credit policy changes; Labour Problems

Creating a sales forecast can be divided into four steps.

Step 1 Develop a customer profile and determinerepparttar 141747 trends in your industry.

Make some basic assumptions aboutrepparttar 141748 customers in your target market. Experienced business people will tell you that a good rule of thumb is that 20% of your customers account for 80% of your sales. If you can identify this 20% you can begin to develop a profile of your principal markets.

Sample customer profiles: male, ages 20-34, professional, middle income, fitness conscious.

Young families, parents 25 to 39, middle income, home owners.

Small to medium sized magazine and book publishers with sales from $500,000 to $2,000,000

Determine trends by talking to trade suppliers about what is selling well and what is not. Check out recent copies of your industry's trade magazines. Searchrepparttar 141749 Business Periodicals Index (found in larger libraries) for articles related to your type of business.

Question: What are five customer profiles for your business?

Question: What are some customer trends for your customers/clients?

Step 2 Look atrepparttar 141750 area where you will be trading

Establishrepparttar 141751 approximate size and location of your planned trading area.

Use available statistics to determinerepparttar 141752 general characteristics of this area.

Use local sources to determine unique characteristics about your trading area.

How far will your average customer travel to buy from your shop? Where do you intend to distribute or promote your product? This is your trading area.

Estimatingrepparttar 141753 number of individuals or households can be done with little difficulty using national census data to be found at your library or town hall. Your local statistics office or chamber of commerce can identify whatrepparttar 141754 average household spends on goods and services.

Neighbourhood business owners,repparttar 141755 local Chamber of Commerce,repparttar 141756 Government Agent andrepparttar 141757 community newspaper are some sources that can give you insight into unique characteristics of your area.

Sales Forecasting For New Business

Written by Ben Botes


Sales forecasting isrepparttar process of organizing and analysing information in a way that makes it possible to estimate what your sales will be. This Micro Module outlines some simple methods of forecasting sales using easy to find data. Books containing simple and sophisticated techniques of forecasting sales can be found in libraries and business oriented book stores.

If you sell more than one type of product or service, prepare a separate sales forecast for each service or product group.

There are many sources of information to assist with your sales forecast. Some key sources are: Competitors; Neighbouring Businesses; Trade suppliers; Downtown business associations Trade associations; Trade publications; Trade directories;

Factors that can affect Sales can be divided into external and internal influences. Examples of these are:

External: Seasons; Holidays; Special Events; Competition, direct or indirect Competition, External labour events; Productivity changes Family formations; Births and deaths; Fashions or styles; Population changes; Consumer earnings; Political events Weather

Internal: Product changes, style, quality; Service changes, type, quality; Shortages, production capability; Promotional effort changes Sales Motivation plans; Price changes; Shortages, inventory; Shortages/working capital; Distribution methods used Credit policy changes; Labour Problems

Creating a sales forecast can be divided into four steps.

Step 1 Develop a customer profile and determinerepparttar 141746 trends in your industry.

Make some basic assumptions aboutrepparttar 141747 customers in your target market. Experienced business people will tell you that a good rule of thumb is that 20% of your customers account for 80% of your sales. If you can identify this 20% you can begin to develop a profile of your principal markets.

Sample customer profiles: male, ages 20-34, professional, middle income, fitness conscious.

Young families, parents 25 to 39, middle income, home owners.

Small to medium sized magazine and book publishers with sales from $500,000 to $2,000,000

Determine trends by talking to trade suppliers about what is selling well and what is not. Check out recent copies of your industry's trade magazines. Searchrepparttar 141748 Business Periodicals Index (found in larger libraries) for articles related to your type of business.

Question: What are five customer profiles for your business?

Question: What are some customer trends for your customers/clients?

Step 2 Look atrepparttar 141749 area where you will be trading

Establishrepparttar 141750 approximate size and location of your planned trading area.

Use available statistics to determinerepparttar 141751 general characteristics of this area.

Use local sources to determine unique characteristics about your trading area.

How far will your average customer travel to buy from your shop? Where do you intend to distribute or promote your product? This is your trading area.

Estimatingrepparttar 141752 number of individuals or households can be done with little difficulty using national census data to be found at your library or town hall. Your local statistics office or chamber of commerce can identify whatrepparttar 141753 average household spends on goods and services.

Neighbourhood business owners,repparttar 141754 local Chamber of Commerce,repparttar 141755 Government Agent andrepparttar 141756 community newspaper are some sources that can give you insight into unique characteristics of your area.

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