A conference held, at
beginning of
month, in St. Petersburg, was aptly titled "Middle Class - The Myths and
Reality". Russia is way poorer than Slovenia,
Czech Republic, Hungary, or even Poland. But, as income disparities grow, a group of discriminating consumers with
purchasing power to match, is re-emerging, having been submerged by
1998 implosion of
financial sector.The typical salary in
large metropolises is now more than $600 per month - four times
meager national average. Some 20 percent of
workforce in Moscow earns more than $1700 a month, comparable to many members of
European Union. Real average wages across Russia have surpassed
pre-1998 level in May.
Moreover, Russians are unburdened by debt and their utility bills and food are heavily subsidized, though decreasingly so. Few pay taxes - lately dramatically reduced and simplified - and even fewer save. Every rise in disposable income is immediately translated to unadulterated consumption. Takings are understated - Russia's informal economy is probably half as big as its formal sector.
A study, financed by
Carnegie Foundation, found that only 7 percent of Russians qualify as middle class. Another 12 percent or so have some bourgeois characteristics. Sixty percent of them are men, though
Komkon marketing research agency says that
genders are equally represented.
Figures culled from
census conducted this year throughout
Russian Federation -
first since 1989 - are expected to confirm these findings. About one fifth to one quarter of all Russian households earn more than
average monthly income of $150 per person.
Political parties which purport to represent
middle class - such as
Union of
Forces of
Right (SPS) - garnered 10-15 percent of
votes in
1999 parliamentary elections. Direct action groups of
"third estate" may transform
political landscape in forthcoming elections.
In a recent study by sociologists from
Russian Academy of Sciences' Institute of Philosophy, more than half of all Russians self-flatteringly considered themselves middle class. This is delusional. Even
optimistic research firm Premier-TGI pegs
number at 19 percent at most.
Businesses adapt to these new demands of shifting tastes and preferences. The St. Petersburg-based cellular operator Delta Telecom, owner of
first license to provide wireless-communications services in Russia, intends to test
market among middle class clients.
Ikea,
Swedish home improvement chain, has plunged $200 million into a new shopping center. French, German and Dutch cash-and-carry and do-it-yourself groups are slated to follow. Russian competitors, every bit as sleek, have erupted on
scene. The investment spree has engulfed
provinces as well.
Last month, Citibank opened a retail outlet for affluent individuals in Moscow - though its standards of transparency may yet scare them off, as Gazeta.ru observed astutely. A private cemetery in Samara caters to
needs of
expired newly rich. Opulently-stocked emporiums have sprouted in all urban centers. TV shopping and even online commerce are on
up. According to
Washington Post, Moscow retail space will have tripled by
end of next year from its level at
beginning of 2002.
The Russian Expert magazine says that
middle class, minuscule as it is, accounted last year for a staggering 55 percent of all consumer goods purchased and generates one third of Russia's gross domestic product. The middle class is Russia's most important engine of wealth formation and investment, far outweighing foreign capital.
Russia's post-1998 fledgling middle class is described as young, well-educated, well-traveled, community-orientated, entrepreneurial and suffused with work ethic and a desire for social mobility. It is almost as if
crisis four years ago served as a purgatory, purging sins and sinners alike and creating
conditions for
revival of a healthier, longer-lived, bourgeoisie.
But being middle class is a state of mind more than a measure of wealth. It is an all-encompassing worldview, a set of values, a code of conduct, a list of goals, aspirations, fantasies and preferences and a catalog of moral do's and don'ts. This is where transition, micromanaged by western "experts" failed.
The mere exposure to free markets was supposed to unleash innovation and entrepreneurship in
long-oppressed populations of east Europe. When this prescription - known as "shock therapy" - bombed,
West tried to engender a stable, share-holding, business-owning, middle class by financing small size enterprises. It then proceeded to strengthen and transform indigenous institutions.
None of it worked. Transition had no grassroots support and its prescriptive - and painful - nature caused wide resentment and obstruction. When
dust settled, Russia found itself with a putative - and puny - middle class. But it was an anomalous beast, very different from its ostensible European or American counterparts.
To start with, Russia's new middle class is a distinct minority.
Prism, a publication of
Jamestown Foundation, quoted, in its August 2001 issue,
Serbian author Milorad Pavic as saying that "the Russian middle class is like a young generation whose fathers suffered a severe defeat in a war: with no feeling of guilt and no victorious fathers to boss them around,
children of defeat see no obstacles before them".
But this metaphor is misleading. The Russian middle class is a nascent exception - not an overarching rule. As Akos Rona-Tas, Associate Professor in
Sociology Department at
University of California, San Diego, notes correctly in his paper "Post Communist Transition and
Absent Middle Class in Central East Europe", a middle class that is in
minority is an oxymoron: