Probability – Fact or FictionSo what is
chance that a coin will land heads when flipped? Scientists say there is a 50% chance. Is this necessarily so though?
From reading my other articles it should be clear that one theory of our universe that I’m particularly interested in is consensus reality. A universe created by our collective consciousness that fits within
confines of our collective belief systems.
I often feel that science is not so much determining existing laws of
universe as is commonly thought, but in some respects creating
laws itself through self-reinforcement in
conscious minds that continually maintain
structure and behaviour of this planet.
When you toss a coin, your subconscious beliefs dictate that, if you toss it enough, it will come up tails eventually. The concept of probability, chance and chaos are so well rooted in everyone’s minds that it is impossible to convince yourself that you have
power to make that coin show heads each and every time.
If you do
experiment yourself, say tossing a coin 1000 times trying to will
coin to be heads, and logging
results as you go, you may notice after
first 50 tosses that there has been a rather large bias towards
coin coming up heads, for e.g
Heads Tails 31 19
Odd? Not really, mathematicians and statisticians will tell you that if you continue tossing
coin, and more data is amassed, that
tosses will average out more.
That is entirely possible, and if we are to believe that
physical world follows
laws of probability as rigidly as they say, probable.
But... this experiment has been insurmountably tainted by
preconceptions of
person carrying out
experiment. If that person, with 100% complete faith that that coin WOULD land heads every single time, actually had
power to make that happen, there is no way they would EVER find that power out, because 100% faith is impossible with
conditioning of randomness and probability concepts since
day they were born. The most faith you can realistically ever have that it will land heads is... well, 50% really.
If you managed to convince yourself 100% that you had
power to influence
coin toss, and then tossed
coin and it came up heads, what are
“chances” that it will come up heads on
second toss? 50% still. It’s counter intuitive, as you would assume that there is less chance of it coming up heads again if it already has done, but probability states that
second time (or any other time) you toss that coin, it still has 50% chance of being heads.
Despite this, when tossing
coin a second time, you would be aware that you had just got a heads, and this niggling doubt would mean that you were no longer 100% convinced that you could make
coin come up heads again. You toss it again... Heads! Unbelievable...
That’s two heads in a row, maybe there’s something to this?