Probability – Fact or Fiction
So what is chance that a coin will land heads when flipped? Scientists say there is a 50% chance. Is this necessarily so though?
From reading my other articles it should be clear that one theory of our universe that I’m particularly interested in is consensus reality. A universe created by our collective consciousness that fits within confines of our collective belief systems.
I often feel that science is not so much determining existing laws of universe as is commonly thought, but in some respects creating laws itself through self-reinforcement in conscious minds that continually maintain structure and behaviour of this planet.
When you toss a coin, your subconscious beliefs dictate that, if you toss it enough, it will come up tails eventually. The concept of probability, chance and chaos are so well rooted in everyone’s minds that it is impossible to convince yourself that you have power to make that coin show heads each and every time.
If you do experiment yourself, say tossing a coin 1000 times trying to will coin to be heads, and logging results as you go, you may notice after first 50 tosses that there has been a rather large bias towards coin coming up heads, for e.g
Heads Tails 31 19
Odd? Not really, mathematicians and statisticians will tell you that if you continue tossing coin, and more data is amassed, that tosses will average out more.
That is entirely possible, and if we are to believe that physical world follows laws of probability as rigidly as they say, probable.
But... this experiment has been insurmountably tainted by preconceptions of person carrying out experiment. If that person, with 100% complete faith that that coin WOULD land heads every single time, actually had power to make that happen, there is no way they would EVER find that power out, because 100% faith is impossible with conditioning of randomness and probability concepts since day they were born. The most faith you can realistically ever have that it will land heads is... well, 50% really.
If you managed to convince yourself 100% that you had power to influence coin toss, and then tossed coin and it came up heads, what are “chances” that it will come up heads on second toss? 50% still. It’s counter intuitive, as you would assume that there is less chance of it coming up heads again if it already has done, but probability states that second time (or any other time) you toss that coin, it still has 50% chance of being heads.
Despite this, when tossing coin a second time, you would be aware that you had just got a heads, and this niggling doubt would mean that you were no longer 100% convinced that you could make coin come up heads again. You toss it again... Heads! Unbelievable...
That’s two heads in a row, maybe there’s something to this?
Time to toss again. You are still willing it to be heads, but you can feel your conviction and faith waning this time...