"Take a chance! All life is a chance. The man who goes
furthest is generally
one who is willing to do and dare. The "sure thing" boat never gets far from shore." Dale Carnegie (1888 - 1955) In 1998 Economics Professor and Nobel Prize winner Paul Samuelson (1915 - ) noted that, "Many people now believe that if they simply hold stocks long enough they will not, lose money for statistics have shown that since 1926
U.S. equity market has not suffered a loss in any given 15 year."
He called it a fallacy, and conceded that it is truly likely that if you hold stocks over long periods of time that they would tend to produce returns higher than other assets. But to believe that it is a God given statement ... Is simply not correct!
"Risk does not go to zero over long periods," but there are many articles that reflect how risk goes down
longer
time period. What is seldom introduced is
fact that if there is a significant onetime loss, it can be monumentally overwhelming.
In any case Samuelson noted that: "The problem is that when stock prices do turn down (as inevitably happens even in
strongest of bull markets!) your optimistic equity exposure can overwhelm your gut level risk tolerance, leading to poor short-term judgments and even outright panic!"
Risk is a complex, multidimensional concept that manifests itself in various ways. Risk is omnipresent and includes stock market crashes, corporate bankruptcies, currency devaluations, changes in sentiment, in inflation and interest rates, and even major changes in
tax code.