Election Truth

Written by The Independent Voice

Yes, it is true that George W. Bush receivedrepparttar most votes of any elected President in our history. He also received more votes against him than any other elected President inrepparttar 125935 history of our country. The margin of difference between those who want Bush as our President and those who do not is a measly 3%. The fact is thatrepparttar 125936 electoral map is almost identical to that ofrepparttar 125937 year 2000. Bush did winrepparttar 125938 popular vote by 3.5 million votes but he nearly lostrepparttar 125939 election, had just 68,001 votes switched in Ohio. The 3.5 million more votes came entirely from small states that have predominantly rural voters that typically vote Republican or lean Republican but don't always vote.

Who voted for whom?

If you are young (18-29), a working woman or a non-working woman, black, latino, Asian, or other, belong to a union, make under $100,000, have a post-graduate education, are a moderate or liberal, never voted before, a Jew, a Buddhist, or a Hindu, a single civilian, homosexual, don't own a gun, your values and concerns are education, unnecessary war, health care, andrepparttar 125940 economy, and you believe we are less safe from terrorism, understand that things are going horribly wrong in Iraq, your family economic situation is worse today than 4 years ago, believe that Iraq has nothing to do withrepparttar 125941 war on terror, believerepparttar 125942 country is headed inrepparttar 125943 wrong direction, and have lost a job, thenrepparttar 125944 odds are that you voted for John Kerry.

If you are a rich old white male conservative, a religious zealot who has some college, don't belong to a union, a married veteran who goes to church at least once a week, and your values and concerns are taxes, terrorism and "morals", you have a job but don't work more than full time, you think things are going swell, believe Iraq is tied to terrorism, your family is doing better than 4 years ago, you own a gun, think things are going well in Iraq, not concerned with health care, want abortion completely outlawed, hate homos, believerepparttar 125945 economy is just great, think attacking Iraq made us more secure, and live in a small town, thenrepparttar 125946 odds are that you voted for George W. Bush.

A Look Ahead to 2008 (Part I)

Written by Terry Mitchell

Just as everyone has breathed a sigh of relief atrepparttar end of 2004 presidential campaign, I would like to take a quick look ahead to 2008. Unless George W. Bush is unable to complete his second term, 2008 will bringrepparttar 125934 third open presidential election (no incumbent running) in 20 years. Even though that's still four years intorepparttar 125935 future,repparttar 125936 campaign will be unofficially getting underway almost immediately. Therefore, many ofrepparttar 125937 potential candidates can already be identified and there should be no shortage of them on either side. Today, I will be taking a look atrepparttar 125938 potential Republican candidates. Among them are Arizona Senator John McCain, Tennessee Senator Bill Frist, Florida Governor Jeb Bush, Vice President Dick Cheney, former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani, Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum, Homeland Security Director Tom Ridge, Virginia Senator George Allen, and National Security Advisor Condoleezza Rice. John McCain is probably inrepparttar 125939 best position to capturerepparttar 125940 GOP nomination, should he decide to run. He was beaten by Bush inrepparttar 125941 2000 primaries, but he has since been one ofrepparttar 125942 President's most loyal supporters, despite some differences of opinion. McCain is one ofrepparttar 125943 most popular politicians inrepparttar 125944 U.S. and won re-election to his Senate seat last week with more than 70% ofrepparttar 125945 vote! Unlikerepparttar 125946 Democrats,repparttar 125947 Republicans have a history of sometimes awarding their nomination to someone who has waited his "turn." A case in point is Bob Dole, who was rejected in his bids forrepparttar 125948 nomination in 1980 and 1988, only to finally get it in 1996. Bill Frist is a surgeon is who was first elected torepparttar 125949 Senate duringrepparttar 125950 "Republican Revolution" of 1994. He is nowrepparttar 125951 majority leader ofrepparttar 125952 Senate and should benefit fromrepparttar 125953 GOP's pick-up of four additional seats in this election cycle. Frist seems to be well liked by all factions ofrepparttar 125954 party. He would probably haverepparttar 125955 inside track torepparttar 125956 Republican nomination if McCain decides not to run. Jeb Bush would like to continue a streak thatrepparttar 125957 Republicans currently have in place. Since 1976, they have featured either a Dole or a Bush on every national ticket. That's eight straight presidential elections! The fact that he was able to help his brother do better than anyone expected in Florida (winning by five percentage points) bodes well for him. That alone should greatly improve his stature withinrepparttar 125958 Republican Party. Having family ties torepparttar 125959 White House won't hurt either. Dick Cheney has said he probably will not run for president (and there are even rumors that he might even resign beforerepparttar 125960 end of Bush's second term). If he doesn't run, or if he does run and subsequently fails to getrepparttar 125961 nomination,repparttar 125962 2008 election would berepparttar 125963 first withoutrepparttar 125964 inclusion of a sitting president or vice president since 1952. However, politicians have been known to change their minds. I still think he might ultimately decide to run. If he does, unlike most sitting vice presidents, he will have an uphill battle forrepparttar 125965 nomination. However, his popularity withrepparttar 125966 far right wing ofrepparttar 125967 party would play to his advantage and could ultimately give himrepparttar 125968 edge he would need. There's still a question mark as to how evangelicals withinrepparttar 125969 party would react to his support of his gay daughter. Rudy Giuliani rebuilt his image with his handling ofrepparttar 125970 9/11 aftermath. Previously, he had to withdraw from a potential Senate race against Hillary Clinton, because of health problems. That wasrepparttar 125971 official line, but most people believed it was because of a nasty divorce and rumors about extramarital affairs. He is now a very popular politician, but whether he is conservative enough to winrepparttar 125972 Republican presidential nomination is questionable at best. He will likely be opposed byrepparttar 125973 evangelical wing ofrepparttar 125974 party.

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