Beat the House with this Supa Blackjack Strategy

Written by Kent Clarke


Inrepparttar game of blackjack,repparttar 112187 final hand you hold can only be one ofrepparttar 112188 following - a blackjack, 21, 20, 19, 18, 17, 16 or less, or bust. If you bust, you have lost, whereas if you hold blackjackrepparttar 112189 worse case scenario is a tie withrepparttar 112190 dealer withrepparttar 112191 best case scenario being you get paid a bonus of 1.5 times your stake. You probably realize thatrepparttar 112192 chances of winning if you stand on your 17 - 21 are very important, so what are they? Not as good as you might like!

Here's an example stand on 17 in a 6 deck game (the dealer must stand on 17). You are probaqly thinking that's a good hand and are happy to happy to have 17. The statistics prove though, that you will lose more often than win ifrepparttar 112193 dealer shows any face card except a 6. The most money is lost in this scenario whenrepparttar 112194 dealer shows a 9,repparttar 112195 least whenrepparttar 112196 dealer shows a 4 or a 5. Make a mental note - you only stand a fighting chance whenrepparttar 112197 dealer has a 6 showing. Only in THIS case will you have a statistical chance of winning money inrepparttar 112198 long run. You will now be wondering how you can make money, given these facts. You can't. If you hit a hard 17 you will expreience mounting losses, sorepparttar 112199 wise course of action is simply to stand. Of course, often you can stand on 17 and still win a hand butrepparttar 112200 numbers add up inexorably - over time you will end up losing more money than you win UNLESSrepparttar 112201 dealer shows a 6. Standing on 17 is not a good idea!

Now you know that 17 is actually not a good hand, you have probably already realized you should never stand on soft 17 (instead you should either hit or double down). There is a further disadvantage too, whenrepparttar 112202 dealer hits soft 17, as follows. Imagine you stand with 18. This has GOT to be better than standing on 17, right? Yes, butrepparttar 112203 improvement in your odds might surprise you. With an 18, and overrepparttar 112204 long run you are going to make money whenrepparttar 112205 dealer shows a 2 to 8 face card. You will still actually LOSE money whenrepparttar 112206 dealer's showing a 9, 10 or Ace. For this reason you should never stand, but should always hit a soft 18 ifrepparttar 112207 dealer shows a 9, 10, or Ace.

Statistical 'Monte Carlo' analysis of Black Jack by www.supabets.com has revealed that inrepparttar 112208 imaginary case of you ALWAYS having a hand of 18,repparttar 112209 surprising fact is that you would LOSE an average of about 65 cents for every $100 you bet. 18 ain't such a great hand! Human psycology is what makes us thinkrepparttar 112210 opposite - 18 is 'nearly 19', and 19, or course, is 'nearly 20'. An 18, inrepparttar 112211 subconscious mind, is therefore 'nearly 21'!! What about 19? Can we regularly stand on 19 and win money inrepparttar 112212 long run? 19 MUST be a winning hand! The answer is... Yes, except ifrepparttar 112213 dealer shows a 10 or Ace. If that isrepparttar 112214 case, your 19 will still cause you to lose money inrepparttar 112215 long run. Hard to believe, huh? When you get up to 20 you are basically inrepparttar 112216 money. This hand will make you money inrepparttar 112217 long run whateverrepparttar 112218 dealer holds, even including an Ace. As 20 is such a phenomenally strong hand, NEVER split it 10 10 (and likewise an Ace 9 should never be doubled). It's a winning hand - and if it ain't broke, don't fix it!

Making the Market

Written by Trader Jack


Almost everything you have ever been told aboutrepparttar world's stock markets is probably wrong. Almost everything you have ever assumed aboutrepparttar 112186 world's stock markets is also probably wrong. You probably believe that share prices go up and down due to classic 'supply and demand' laws. You probably believe that over time,repparttar 112187 world's stock markets will go up because of increased economic production, or inflationary pressures. You probably believe that your broker, though undoubtedly a parasite, makes his money reasonably fairly by charging you an honest declared spread between his bid and offer price. You might even be laboring underrepparttar 112188 delusion that 'fundamentals' or 'interest rates' drive price.

Wrong, wrong, wrong and wrong.

So where'srepparttar 112189 proof, I hear you cry. OK, here we go.

Markets are composed of players of all sizes (including you and me!) according to www.traders101.com,repparttar 112190 largest of whom are 'Market Makers'; firms who have an obligation to quote a price on particular securities whateverrepparttar 112191 overall market is doing. Brave of them, I hear you think - imagine having to buy Enron as it plummeted. Surely they ended up with most of that worthless stock in their own portfolios? Er, no. So where did it go then? Patience, little investor.

Get something straight in your mind now - although these market makers would like you to think that they are simple 'middle men', buying from Fred and selling to Joe, while pocketingrepparttar 112192 spread between those two prices in an honest, upfront sort of way,repparttar 112193 truth is rather more devious (not to mention complicated). The real tool that market makers use to create their own profits is embedded within that sentence. The spread. I hear you think, "I have no problem with them charging a fee for their service - everyone has to make a living, and it's only a few percent after all! ". Wrong again! The whole concept of a 'spread' allows a market maker to controlrepparttar 112194 market inrepparttar 112195 same way that a shepherd controls a flock of witless sheep. Let me elaborate

Howrepparttar 112196 Market should work Imagine that a market really IS controlled byrepparttar 112197 laws of "supply and demand", and rises and falls due torepparttar 112198 imbalance between external buyers and sellers (you and me) competing for, or shunning certain securities. In this wonderful la-la land, market makers really don't care whatrepparttar 112199 market does, as they make their own money fromrepparttar 112200 spread. And a nice profit is is too. But hang on - isn't there any way to make MORE money from these investing sheep? Of course there is.

Howrepparttar 112201 Market really works To lubricate their transactions, market makers need a supply, or inventory ofrepparttar 112202 securities they support. This can either be real certificates, or via a process called 'stock lending' (don't worry about THAT one yet - it basically means they borrow stock or "pretend" they have it). Once you have an inventory of stock, andrepparttar 112203 concept of 'spread' (or 'edge'), a marvelous opportunity opens up. The average price at which a market maker accumulates a security andrepparttar 112204 average price at which he distributes it are going to be different. Add this torepparttar 112205 fact thatrepparttar 112206 market maker setsrepparttar 112207 price tick by tick, and boom! A license to print money. Observe closely, this is a good trick.

Let's play Chicken I, as a market maker, decide (for no real reason, or perhaps because there has been some trivial news about them) that stock in ABC Corp is my plaything today. I don't have much of an inventory in that particular security, so what do I do? Mark uprepparttar 112208 price so external holders will sell me some? No. I markrepparttar 112209 price DOWN. Oof. Some external parties see this as a buying opportunity, and as I am a market maker, I am obliged to sell themrepparttar 112210 security atrepparttar 112211 new, lower price, meaning I am even shorter on that security.

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