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3. The Public Can't Help Itself
The average bettor loves popular teams (favorites), oftentimes pushing lines unreasonably high. In fact, almost every week, with right research, you can spot teams that should be favorites but are getting points against a popular team that has been installed as a favorite due to public "bandwagon effect.?
4. Got Courage?
Most bettors don't have courage to go with certain underdogs. They see a (perceived) good team versus a (perceived) bad team and assume it won't be a contest. They have formed an opinion about how horrible some teams are based on a recent blowout or past personal gambling loss. Again, with right combination of statistical and situational research, some undervalued dogs can be spotted each week. There are also certain situations in which bad teams have historically and reliably outperformed their average. Match that with a historically-proven situation in which favorites under-perform and you have yourself a reliable upset scenario.
5.What It All Means
Obviously just playing all underdogs is not answer (that would yield you approximately 50% wins and a negative account balance). However, with right research, you can spot some very high-value underdog winners each week.
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