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After losing trades, turtles would reduce
effective equity, in order to scale back risk even further. Expand when you are winning, pull back when you are losing. But how did they know when to trade???
Entries. There were 2 breakout systems used by
turtles. The first used a 20 day breakout. The second used a 55 day breakout. A 20 day breakout is where
high or low exceeds
high or low of
preceding 20 days. They took
trade when it was offered - i.e. this was not an 'end of day' system. If an opening gap caused
breakout,
turtles would still take
trade, as
idea was they would be in it for some days, and a couple of points at
start didn't matter. Personally, (and everyone at www.traders101.com agrees!) we never chase
gap. Obviously,
turtles traded both long and short. There were a couple of extra rules, such as ignoring a signal if
LAST breakout (whether
turtle took it or not) would have led to a winner. The 55 day breakout would then become
initiation point as a fail-safe on major moves. Full rules, are of course, available in
free download.
Stops. Turtle traders ALWAYS used stops. They defined
exit point BEFORE initiating a trade. Their positions could be so large that in order NOT to alert
market, 'mental' stops were used. No trade could carry more than 2% risk. This means a stop would be 2 x N away from
position.
Exits. Most breakouts do NOT result in trends. Most turtle trades, therefore, ended in losses. The winners therefore had to be BIG to cover
losers, and they were. The first exit rule was to exit on a 10 day low or high against your position. The second method was an exit against a 20 day high or low. Simple, yes. But at
time it worked. The HARD part for most traders is hanging on grimly as profits evaporate over 10 or 20 days! The cultivation of THAT discipline was
real secret!
Does it still work? Sometimes. The market is well aware of
legions of would-be turtles avidly watching for 20 day breakouts. 'Turtle Soup' is a common maneuver whereby a big player 'fakes' a move up or down to trigger
turtle signals, then reverses it, stopping them out. Mean, ain't it? Bottom line, if you want to turtle trade, you need to adapt
rules for your own personal style and hide your 'footprint' in
market.

Trader Jack writes stock trading artices for www.traders101.comthe free site helping traders get into profit fast