Stock Market Investment Advice: Part 3

Written by Dr. Steve Sjuggerud


Continued from page 1

If inrepparttar marble game your portfolio had grown fromrepparttar 139004 starting $100,000 to $200,000, and you want to stick with your 5% rule, then instead of investing $5,000 on your next investment, you'd go with $10,000. Your risk staysrepparttar 139005 same (a $10,000 investment in a $200,000 portfolio isrepparttar 139006 same as a $5,000 investment in a $100,000 portfolio), but your potential for profit escalates because you have more money in play. Similarly, if you happen to start out with some losses, you only risk 5% of what remains in your portfolio.

For your initial investment and for all subsequent investments, you should never take on a bigger risk than you're comfortable with. And you should have a systematic way of investing that ensures that no matter howrepparttar 139007 size of your portfolio changes, you'll continue to maintain that same risk level.

We advise never to have more than 2% of their capital at risk in any one position. But remember, that doesn't mean that you can only invest 2% in any one position–it means you shouldn't have more than 2% at risk.

To illustrate this 2% rule, let's look at a $100,000 portfolio. If you follow The Oxford Club's rules for 25% trailing stops and 2% risk,repparttar 139008 maximum you can invest in any one stock at any one time is $8,000. Here'srepparttar 139009 formula for figuring that out... [(.02 x 100,000)/.25]. Now here it is "spelled out": .02 times 100,000 = 2,000, divided by .25 = 8,000.

If you decided you wanted to put less at risk–1% of your capital–our formula would be [(.01 x 100,000/.25] and your limit would be $4,000 in any one stock.

The central message here is consistency: Decide on how much you want to risk... and then stick with that number no matter what. Stay with low-risk ideas... have a consistent exit strategy forrepparttar 139010 stock market... and you'll begin to make money just likerepparttar 139011 world's greatest investors.

Let Your Winners Run–"Scale" Your Way to Ultra-High Profits

The basic reasoning behindrepparttar 139012 scaling technique is that once you've found a winner, you absolutely don't want to sell it. Instead, you want to put more money into it...

So far we've seen exactly how your portfolio will benefit from strictly following The Oxford Club's 25% Trailing Stop Strategy. And you've seen how following position-sizing opportunities keeps your capital safe while letting you rake inrepparttar 139013 maximum amount of profits available. That's a perfect combination.

In scaling in, you'll be using a similar rule to what you learned in our look at trailing stops. Only this time, instead of selling when your stock falls 25%, you'll be adding to your investment when–and every time–it rises 33%.

At about this time, average investors will begin to worry. That's because to themrepparttar 139014 idea of adding money to a stock that's rising is every bit as frightening as selling a stock that's falling. Once again, emotion has come into play, and it threatens to get inrepparttar 139015 way of your profits.

But by this time, you should be beyond that. You've seen how being afraid to sell a falling stock can hurt you, so you understandrepparttar 139016 negative role emotion can play in investing. What's more, you should be able to appreciate how investing more money into a rising stock can help you...

One ofrepparttar 139017 best examples that we can use to illustraterepparttar 139018 power of scaling in involvesrepparttar 139019 French telecommunications giant, Alcatel. When we first recommended this company to members it traded at a price of $22. We roderepparttar 139020 stock allrepparttar 139021 way up to a 108% gain before selling it onrepparttar 139022 way down when we ultimately pocketed 78%.

The fact that we gave back 25% offrepparttar 139023 stock's top didn't bother us a bit. After all, every $10,000 our members invested in Alacatel had blossomed to $17,000–and this money was safe from any further erosion inrepparttar 139024 stock's price. But here's how you could have done much, much better with Alcatel.

Rather than just sitting back and watching their winning positions climb,repparttar 139025 world's best investors will "feed" their successes more money–so that there's more capital onrepparttar 139026 table to take advantage ofrepparttar 139027 high profit that will be thrown off by these winning rides. And, of course, they always know how much additional capital to add because they're usingrepparttar 139028 position sizing technique.

As you've seen, our advice is to not put more than 1% or 2% into any one stock market investment or 1% in subsequent scale-ins of that investment. In other words, you put 2% in to startrepparttar 139029 investment, and then if it climbs 33% for you, you add another 1%... another 33%–another 1% goes in, and so on. I'll illustrate this principle using a very simplified scenario, but I will use a 2% scale-in to emphasizerepparttar 139030 effective use of scaling in...

Let's suppose that after your initial investment in Alcatel–and forrepparttar 139031 subsequent 14 months–the size of your portfolio was such that 2% equaled $4,000. That would mean that if Alcatel had gone up 33%, you'd be in a position to feed this investment with another $4,000.

As we saw, Alcatel in fact rose 108% after The Oxford Club recommended it. Which means that you would have had opportunities to do three "scale-ins" of $4,000 each. This scenario is played out inrepparttar 139032 chart above.

By adding $4,000 each time this stock went up 33%, you would have maximized your profit from it duringrepparttar 139033 14 months The Oxford Club recommended it. So instead of a $10,000 investment growing to a very respectable $17,000, your total stake in Alcatel would have skyrocketed to $43,514.95!

The reason we recommend you wait to dorepparttar 139034 initial scale-in until your investment has risen a full 33% is that by that point you're guaranteed never to lose any money onrepparttar 139035 stock as long as you get out atrepparttar 139036 trailing stop. Because you'll be using a 25% trailing stop,repparttar 139037 very worst that could happen to you at this point would be forrepparttar 139038 stock to return back torepparttar 139039 point at which you bought it–a wash, in other words.

An Ideal Profit and Safety Scenario Unfolds...

These secrets are used by 99% ofrepparttar 139040 world's most successful investors, and are now yours to apply to your own investments.

Atrepparttar 139041 end ofrepparttar 139042 day, these secrets–limiting your losses and maximizing your profits–seem to spring from just plain common sense. The problem, of course, is that common sense is an extremely rare commodity inrepparttar 139043 world of investing. Many investment advisors, newsletters, mainstream media financial TV shows, and Internet "gurus" make a living out of complicatingrepparttar 139044 process with their own forms of investment advice, rather than simplifying it.

After all,repparttar 139045 more complicated they make it,repparttar 139046 more mysterious it seems. Andrepparttar 139047 more mysterious it seems,repparttar 139048 more it can play onrepparttar 139049 emotions of investors. Andrepparttar 139050 more emotional investors get,repparttar 139051 more they'll turn to these very same self-proclaimed experts for "investment advice." It's a vicious circle.

Good investing,

Dr. Steve Sjuggerud

(See Parts 1 and 2 of this white paper by searching this web site by Author's Name for ‘Steve Sjuggerud.’)

Dr. Steve Sjuggerud is editor of the Investment U newsletter and serves as Chairman of Investment U and the Oxford Club's Investment University. He helps people become better investors with actionable stock market investment advice they can put to use to build their portfolios.


Stock Market Investment Advice: Part 2

Written by Dr. Steve Sjuggerud


Continued from page 1

With no trailing stop strategy, there was no guarantee that we would stop losing money on this investment ifrepparttar stock continued to slide. We might have lost 60%, 70% or even more. Fortuanately,repparttar 139003 fund behaved like Alex thought it would. The price per share quickly rebounded to over $6 in just a few days. So we need to carefully consider value trades in light ofrepparttar 139004 trailing stop.

JDS Uniphase: A Perfect Run-Up inrepparttar 139005 Stock Market

And now we've come to our quintessential example ofrepparttar 139006 power ofrepparttar 139007 trailing stop: JDS Uniphase. Even thoughrepparttar 139008 story is almost five years old, it definesrepparttar 139009 profit-making power of trailing stops like no other. In March of 1999 we heartily recommended JDS Uniphase. We said then that "it would berepparttar 139010 company that would createrepparttar 139011 next great fortune," and it "is one stock investment that you don't want to miss."

We placedrepparttar 139012 normal 25% trailing stop on it.

It turns out this was sage advice, asrepparttar 139013 stock had a perfect, even breathtaking, run-up. It rose from our recommended price of $10.95 (split adjusted) to $110.12–a whopping 905.66% in 14 months. But amazingly, during that entire stretch,repparttar 139014 stock never had a real pullback inrepparttar 139015 market. Withoutrepparttar 139016 25% trailing stop strategy, it would have been tempting to sell some or all of it at 100% or 200%. Had we done that, we would have missed out.

Whenrepparttar 139017 stock reached $150 we were still in it, and subtracting 25%,repparttar 139018 lowest price we would sell this stock would be $112.50. As it turned out too, $150 wasrepparttar 139019 high point forrepparttar 139020 stock. Of course we didn't know this atrepparttar 139021 time, nor did anyone else. But that'srepparttar 139022 great thing aboutrepparttar 139023 trailing stop system–it takesrepparttar 139024 "guesswork" out of trying to determine a stock's value. We letrepparttar 139025 market tell us whenrepparttar 139026 run is over.

The trailing stop system always keeps us from losing our shirt and always locks in our profits when a stock has had a significant gain. How many times have you heard of investors saying they made 100%, 200% or more–only to give it all back whenrepparttar 139027 stock corrected? That's not happening with our system–sure, we may give back a little, but we're always locking in profits on our winners.

If JDS Uniphase had continued to rise above $150, we would have been along forrepparttar 139028 ride. But in this case, $150 wasrepparttar 139029 top, and it gives one a great feeling knowing that even ifrepparttar 139030 worst were to happen–a stock collapse–we would have a huge 905%+ profit. That'srepparttar 139031 beauty ofrepparttar 139032 25% trailing stop strategy.

The Rest ofrepparttar 139033 Story–Don't Buy and Hold

JDS Uniphase also provides a dramatic example ofrepparttar 139034 benefits of our system versusrepparttar 139035 perils of holding and hoping. As we said above, we took more than 906% profits from this investment. JDS was a grand slam for us.

Unfortunately, for investors who don't use a trailing stop strategy, JDS is alsorepparttar 139036 perfect example ofrepparttar 139037 "big fish that got away." From its high of more than $150 per share,repparttar 139038 stock has plummeted. As of July 2004, JDS was trading at a little over $3.28 per share–that's about a 97% drop fromrepparttar 139039 high. That'srepparttar 139040 power of a trailing stop strategy–it can meanrepparttar 139041 difference between taking more than 900% profits and losing 97% of your investment's value.

Use Daily Prices in Your Stock Market Investment Strategy

We use end-of-day prices for all our calculations, not inter-day prices. You should too. This makes things easier. If a stock has gone to $100, put a mental stop at $75. If, subsequently,repparttar 139042 stock closes at or below that $75 level, sell your sharesrepparttar 139043 next day.

The Oxford Club's web site features daily updates and posts on our recommendations. The instant one of our stocks triggers our trailing stop, we immediately post notification onrepparttar 139044 web, so that you can take immediate action. This means that you don't have to followrepparttar 139045 stock yourself or worry about when you should sell.

Remember,repparttar 139046 key is discipline. This is a good technique. Stick to it. Choose a broker who understands trailing stops and will dorepparttar 139047 work for you.

Stock Market Investment Advice You Can't Afford to Miss Out On

If you use a discount broker or trade onrepparttar 139048 Internet, there may be times when you are moving your stop up each day–even when you are on vacation (that's a great problem–it means you're making money). We know that most people need time away fromrepparttar 139049 stock market to recharge their batteries. Each person has to decide whether it pays to go with a full-service stock broker who can run their investments for them. To help with this decision, we initiated our Oxford Club Safety Switch e-mail service. Now, any time one of our recommendations hits our trailing stop, we immediately alert our members via e-mail.

One thing about life is certain: You are never going to knowrepparttar 139050 future. Nobody–evenrepparttar 139051 most astute analyst or investment advisor–can know enough about a particular company, industry orrepparttar 139052 nuances ofrepparttar 139053 stock market to anticipate with 100% certaintyrepparttar 139054 future price of a stock.

But common sense dictates two investment fundamentals:

1) Taking small losses is much better than taking big losses. 2) Letting your profits run is much better than cutting them off prematurely.

Using trailing stops isrepparttar 139055 best first step you can take to greatly improve your portfolio's return. Follow this time-tested technique ofrepparttar 139056 world's greatest investors and your investments will outperform those of your friends, neighbors and even your fund managers.

This isrepparttar 139057 first step to having a coherent, reliable system that will let you sleep at night and give yourepparttar 139058 satisfaction of knowing you're maximizing your profits.

Once you apply trailing stops, you'll be that much further ahead ofrepparttar 139059 ordinary investor.

Now, you're ready to go torepparttar 139060 next level in our 'Stock Market Investment Advice' White Paper–and learnrepparttar 139061 next secret ofrepparttar 139062 world's greatest investors...

Secret #2: Go With "Low Risk"–And Then Let Your Winners Run

(See Part 3 of this white paper by searching this web site by Author's Name for ‘Steve Sjuggerud.’)

Dr. Steve Sjuggerud is editor of the Investment U newsletter and serves as Chairman of Investment U and the Oxford Club's Investment University. He helps people become better investors with actionable stock market investment advice they can put to use to build their portfolios.


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