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If your potential investors can't sell their stock, they won't invest. You have better odds of beating
Bank at Monte Carlo than finding serious money for a private company. In Monte Carlo, your odds of winning at Roulette are 1-in-36. In Vegas, they are 1-in-37.
Your odds of finding a Venture Capitalist are 1-in-2,500. Your odds of finding a Vulture Capitalist are about 1-in-100. My best guess is that your odds of finding an Angel are about 1-in-300. It will cost $30,000 to $100,000 to prepare a business plan and present it to these groups. Is it worth
risk?
According to Money (1/1/98), your odds of raising $200,000 for a SCOR company are about 1-in-4. The costs of raising this money will be between $15,000 and $100,000. If
potential costs are over $50,000, it's a losing bet. You are making
same statistical mistake that a poker player makes drawing to an inside straight.
With liquidity, your odds improve. It may cost $1.25 million to do an IPO (Initial Public Offer). However, it's an even money bet that
underwriter will do
IPO. If your IPO financing exceeds $2.5 million, you've made a statistically sound bet.
Your odds of succeeding with a Spinoff/Offshore Private Placement exceed 9-to-1. This means
odds are over 90% in your favor. The reason that
spinoff works is
1934 U. S. Securities Act is clear that any company with 500 American resident shareholders must be a reporting (public) company. While
U. S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) can delay
review process, they can't stop a public company from paying a stock dividend to their shareholders. The reason
European Fund Managers risk money on spinoffs is that they are buying
stock at a substantial discount to
trading price. They can't lose because they are assured liquidity.
It's your money. You can risk it on an IPO. You can risk it on a spinoff. You can waste it trying to find an Angel or VC. If you want to risk it on a spinoff, contact me.
To contact
author: Visit
Beowulf Investments website: [http://home.earthlink.net/~beowulfinvestments/] Or, visit
Global Village Investment Club Website: [http://home.earthlink.net/~beowulfinvestments/globalvillageinvestmentclubwelcome/]

He has been the Managing Director of Beowulf Investments [http://home.earthlink.net/~beowulfinvestments/] since 1981 and is the Executive Director of the Global Village Investment Club [http://home.earthlink.net/~beowulfinvestments/globalvillageinvestmentclubwelcome/]