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If
QQQQ goes down a little bit to say $30.15,
same will occur and we will keep
premium.
OK, so far so good!
The only way we can LOSE in this trade is if
QQQQ goes down a lot to below $29.50 (which is
higher strike price minus
premium).
If it were
end of
month of expiry and
QQQQ was trading below $30 (our sold option strike price) we would be exercised and our total loss would be
difference between
sold option strike price and
current stock price less
total credit we received.
Our maximum loss will be realized at any price at or below our bought option strike price.
$30 - $29 = $1, less
premium of $0.50 cents = a maximum loss of $0.50 cents per contract or $1000 (20 contracts - 200 shares x $0.50 cents)
However, before it gets to this point, we would intervene. If
QQQQ is falling strongly then we were obviously wrong in our initial analysis.
Before we entered
trade though, we decided that if
QQQQ fell through support at $30 (which it does) we would move to plan B.
At this point we can do a little ‘magic’.
With
click of a mouse through our online broker, we can instantly jump from
bullish camp to
bearish camp!
We do this by buying back
options that we sold which in this case is
$30 puts, and this removes all of our obligation.
At this point though, we have taken a loss BUT, we are still long
$29 puts which would have already increased in value.
If
QQQQ wants to go down, then we are going to let it and just ride
$29 puts as far as they will go.
The more
QQQQ falls in price,
more our option will increase in value.
If it falls far enough, which in this case it does, (falling to $28.50) then we will not only make all our money back, we will start to move into a profitable position.
With credit spreads, we give ourselves
flexibility to change our position mid stream, and
chance to not only recoup some of our losses (if we get it wrong), but to possibly move from a loss into a PROFIT!
And this is just
plan B if things go wrong. Plan A, on it’s own, has statistically, a very high probability of success.
If on
other hand we had
view that
QQQQ would go down, we would simply construct a vertical spread with Out-of-the-money Calls.
We would sell
$31 Call and buy
$32 Call for an overall credit and should
QQQQ close below $31 by
end of
month,
spread would expire worthless and we would simply keep
premium.
For more information on how to profit by using credit spreads from someone who is a 'specialist' at credit spread option trading, click here.

James Thomas is a successful private option trader and has created http://www.option-trading tips.com as an informative no-nonsense resource full of useful tips and information designed for option traders to improve their trading results.