Continued from page 1
The first strategy many people will see as too risky, but it really depends on your level of education in options, whether you can handle
risk and how much spare cash you have to meet your obligation if your puts are exercised. If
total cost of exercise is $50 000 and you have
money then in
case you do get exercised you will be able to buy
shares.
Get protection for your shares
Buy Puts Let's say you protect your position by buying a put, then if
price drops you will cap your loss, or alternatively, you could sell
put/s, which may result in a profit and thus make up for any lost value in
share. Covering your position may be an on-going requirement. There will always be a price to pay - that's life!
Making money buying puts
Write Puts If you write puts then you'll be obliged to buy
stock in
event you are exercised and so having sufficient cash is essential. You can also buy another series to cap your potential loss to
spread between
two series.
If you wrote $10.00 puts and bought $9.50 puts your loss would be partly covered by having that cover if
price drifted lower.
So we can make what looks risky, less risky, by knowing more about what is possible and then choosing our exit strategy. If I am exercised my contingency plan might be to write calls over my new shares and if I preferred, I could go back to put writing, by letting myself be exercised.
If I wanted to keep
shares then I would write calls that are further out of
money. I can even buy calls in a different series so that in
case
share price goes up I capture some of
increase, or I can cancel
contract by buying calls in
same series.
During May 2002 I used this same strategy with NCP. I wrote puts at $12.50. I watched
share go down to $9.68. I let myself be exercised and met my obligation by paying $12.50/share - risky? You bet, because all
worst conditions for put writing came together in June 2002,
month I wrote puts.
It fell to $8.44. NCP used to make up 10% of
Australian All Ordinary Index, now it is an American stock(NWS), so you could expect such an important stock will get serious attention. However at
time big media companies were not
flavour of
month - all
flavours had turned sour!
Following
purchase of
stock I wrote covered calls. There is nothing wrong with
strategy, but timing is your most important variable - thus a contigency plan is required. Keep in mind that 1 month in
market is a long time and 3 months is an eternity. Things can change very quickly from panic to ecstacy for no apparent reason. Someone always raises their hand with an explanation to satisfy
crowd - wouldn't we be disappointed if someone couldn't tell us. I think we'd probably get very worried!
Writing calls is a good idea when you think
stock price will fall. My contingency in
event I was exercised was to write calls and make up
difference I had lost - I didn't intend buying back
calls, as I felt there was little risk of losing
stock because
$10.50 level would remain out of
money.
The resulting action suggested that a better plan would have been to buy/write regularly - buy
calls back sheep(cheap) and write deer(expensive). Waiting first for
stock to peak then writing
call.
I could have closed out my contract by purchasing puts in
same series. I could have bought puts in another exercise price series to cap my loss. I chose a different way and regretted my choice. Holding
stock was not
easiest choice I could have made and in fact it held me back from making a lot more money.
Once I had
stock I had to protect it. If I then sold
protection I could have found
stock slipping further in value, so I kept
protection in place and missed
profit as
stock moved back up. So even though I inially lost by having been exercised I lost more by not being in a position to be more flexible. A further complication was my stock was purchased with a margin loan.
What should I have done?
I could have sold
protection , made a profit and then looked at buying
same protection cheaper. I could have done this at least 4 times in 4 months.
This brings us to
topic of increasing
flexibility of our thinking.
If you make money only in one direction you will reduce your trading results drastically. The market does not always go up! Sometimes it goes down or moves sideways.
We all need to be on
right side of
market. Believe me
alternative is no fun!
Happy Trading, Joseph Sgro
_______________________________________________________________ Copyright(C)2003 Joseph Sgro Further this discussion by reading: "10 Simple Rules to Make Serious Money in
Sharemarket and Keep it!" http://www.tutorhelp.com.au/sharemarket.html
For more articles: http://www.tutorhelp.com.au/articles.html ===============================================================

Joseph Sgro has spent a good slice of the last 20 years as an educator and 16 years as a trader.
He writes of his experiences trading the stockmarket and shares with others "HOW TO TRADE" and How to join the top 5% via THE 10 Simple Rules Ezine.