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Thus, successful equity investment, as a reinvestment tactic, in a private company should increase revenues and reduce risk of failure, but it won't increase owner's percentage of sale of company in twenty years.
Acquiring cash-producing assets, a winning bet
It is usually cheaper to buy a business than create it. An existing business has customers and products. Purchased by an operating company, especially if it is in an aligned business, acquisition can expand client base of both companies and factor potential of sales for both product lines.
The company owner with gross revenues of US$1,000,000 and a reinvestment annual profit of 20% buys a company with revenues of US$1,000,000 and a reinvestment annual profit 20%. The buyer doesn't discount revenue and pays US$1 million for acquired company with 20% down and previous owner taking back a four-year note at 7%. The company is now grossing US$2 million with a repayment budget of $400,000/year. The buyer should be able to payoff acquisition debt in less than 2.5 years. Assuming that our repayment interval is 2.5 years and that our company owner wins every bet over twenty years, their M&A strategy, will result in a company with US$256 million in annual revenues.
Why This Explanation Works
The mathematical reason that a twenty-year M&A strategy results in thirty two times greater revenues is that M&A strategy is based on a geometrical progression and reinvestment tactic is based upon an arithmetic progression. Also, you can use statistics to show that M&A strategy is less risky than reinvestment approach.
The use of publicly traded shares in this M&A strategy reduces time interval in our M&A geometric progression. If we assume a public company with a million dollars in annual revenue and a 20% reinvestment profit making acquisitions using 25% cash and 75% shares, public company would need seller to hold a $50,000 note for two months. Thus it would take about 8.2 years for a public company, using their shares, to achieve gross annual revenues of US$256 million.
Math models are a signpost
Math Models do not necessarily reflect reality. Usually, there are far more variables in any business equation than can be accurately represented in a Math Model. However, Math Models can be useful in comparing relative benefits and risks of two strategies where factors being compared are held constant. In this case, they show that any M&A strategy is wisest strategy for any business owner intent upon effectively growing their company, over an extended period of time.
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He has been the Managing Director of Beowulf Investments [http://home.earthlink.net/~beowulfinvestments/] since 1981 and is the Executive Director of the Global Village Investment Club [http://home.earthlink.net/~beowulfinvestments/globalvillageinvestmentclubwelcome/]