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Is a bank safe? There is also a common belief among lenders that their capital is safe. In
absence of a government or similar state authority providing such a guarantee, this can be far from
case. At university one of
cases we studied, was that of a particular savings bank. A rumour went around
city that
bank was in trouble. A great number of people went to
bank to withdraw their savings. Those that represented
first few % of
total deposit had no problem. When
percentage rose to 6%, which in this case was
amount decided by “the owner of
box”,
rumour became fact in that there was no cash to pay out to depositors. As this was in a country in which
owners of all
boxes were members of a club,
aim of which was to protect
undeserved, but perceived, reputation of said members,
members sent round security vans with sufficient cash to pay out all those who people who “had taken notice of an unfounded rumour.” Things quietened down after a while, and
government decided to introduce legislation to create a minimum liquidity level.
Another case we studied was that of one of
world’s largest banks,
board of which was mainly composed of greedy souls. They had decided that
stock market was a good place to keep
liquidity margin, so that in
event of a bear market, they could create more profit for
shareholders. A sudden bear market wiped out
liquidity margin, and
bank came within a hair’s breadth of going belly up.
Once
bank has reached a substantial size,
liquidity should be sufficiently large to cater for all such panic withdrawals, unless of course
panic is as great as 1929.
For
borrower it provides a necessary service, and apart from penal conditions imposed on borrowers, is a vital service to our society. From
investor’s point of view, it depends firstly on
mentality of
treasury function within
bank, and secondly
legislation that governs their actions and accountancy practices. From
investor’s point of view, considering investing in
stock of such an organisation, it depends entirely on an analysis of
bank’s net worth and profitability. Both
examples mentioned above have since gone from strength to strength, and have since been bought for more billions that most of us can count.
© Jenny Barclay

Jenny Barclay majored in math. and economics, and obtained a masters in viability of banking institutions. She is currently studying Spanish in Andalucia, Spain. This article may be reproduced on websites subject to credit being given to the author, and a link to her website.
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